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Global Macro Method

Macro View: US Still Leads, France in the Crosshairs, AUD Buoyed

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Global Macro Method
Sep 11, 2025
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Markets are digesting a mix of US resilience, European risk, and Asia-Pacific nuance. Inflation expectations remain anchored while labor softens in a way that keeps hopes of a soft landing alive. At the same time, rating agencies are circling France, and Australia sits in a holding pattern on rates even as external drivers lift the AUD.

Below, I break down:

  • Why US exceptionalism continues to set the tone for global risk assets

  • What’s at stake with Fitch’s pending review of France’s credit rating

  • How China’s stabilization may be feeding into AUD strength despite a quiet RBA

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