UST Trade Write Up (adding)
I’ve been watching the Treasury market grind sideways for weeks, stuck between the reality of stable growth and the promise of future cuts. The 10-year note (ZN) has been quietly rebuilding a base, and the mix of moderating inflation, firm reals, and softening growth breadth is setting up something interesting.
This isn’t about chasing the move, it’s about recognizing when short-term pessimism and long-term support start to overlap. I’m looking to position t catch the next duration-led push higher as equities lose their dominance and volatility starts to rebuild.
We are adding to this…. as this is currently prrrriiinttting….
Trade Idea: US 10-Year Treasury
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US 10-Year Treasury – Late-Cycle Reflation, Credit Fatigue, and the Real-Yield Fade



